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Cyclone Forecast Track
The cyclone forecast track indicates the radii of maximum sustained winds, the track positions in latitude and longitude at various time increments, projected sea heights and storm direction and speed.
A dominant feature of the Gulf Coast region is its location on the northern shore of the Gulf, and its east-west orientation, which is perpendicular to the usual tropical cyclone tracks at this latitude. The region between 25° N and 35° N is particularly important in that it lies within the normal point of convergence for recurving tropical cyclones. This is significant because tropical cyclones typically slow and intensify during the recurvature stage. During the recurvature stage of the tropical cyclone life cycle, it is more difficult to accurately predict the rate of recurvature, the storm speed after recurvature, and the storm’s precise future position.
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